How We Value Players
Mercato XI uses a quantitative model to estimate the market value of every player. Here's how it works.
The Model at a Glance
Our model analyzes each player's real performance data from the current season and applies multipliers based on objective market factors. Every valuation is recalculated daily using the latest statistics.
Performance Score
Goals, assists, xG, tackles, interceptions — weighted by position. A striker is evaluated on goals, a defender on duels won.
Age Curve
Young players (18-24) receive a premium, peak is at 25-27, then value declines gradually. A 20-year-old with equal stats is valued higher than a 30-year-old.
League Strength
The Premier League commands the highest transfer fees, so it gets a higher multiplier. Second divisions and smaller leagues get lower multipliers.
Club Tier
Elite clubs (Real Madrid, Man City, PSG) add a premium. Mid-table clubs have a more neutral multiplier reflecting their transfer market power.
Data Pipeline
Stats Collection
Daily at 6:00 AM UTCWe collect statistics for 10,000+ players across 21 leagues via the Sportmonks API. Goals, assists, shots, dribbles, tackles — 40+ metrics per player.
Valuation Computation
Daily at 7:30 AM UTCThe model recomputes all 8,500+ valuations by applying per-90 performance scores, age curves, league multipliers, and European competition bonuses.
Squad Refresh
Weekly on Sundays at 5:00 AM UTCSquads for 460 clubs are synced with Sportmonks to reflect transfers, loans, and position changes.
Monthly Snapshot
1st of each month at 3:00 AM UTCA snapshot of all valuations is saved for month-over-month tracking. This powers the valuation evolution charts and movers rankings.
What Makes Us Different
Daily updates — No quarterly updates. Our valuations reflect yesterday's match performance.
Data-driven — No subjective opinions. The model uses only measurable statistics: goals, assists, minutes, rating. Every number can be traced back to on-pitch data.
Transparent — Every valuation shows a confidence score. A player with few minutes gets a lower confidence rating. You always know how much data backs the number.
21 leagues — From the Premier League to the Polish Ekstraklasa. Every player is valued in the context of their league's transfer market.
Confidence Score
Every valuation comes with a confidence score (0-100%). This score reflects the quantity and quality of available data:
85-100%
High confidence
2000+ minutes, major league
65-84%
Solid confidence
1000+ minutes, complete data
<65%
Limited confidence
Few minutes, partial data
See the model in action