Data-Driven

Insights

Deep-dive analysis and rankings generated from our market valuations.

Analysis

Transfer market breakdowns

Why midfielders are driving the biggest valuation jumps of summer 2026

Caicedo, Zaïre-Emery, Gravenberch and Vitinha have each gained 25-45% in valuation since the previous snapshot. The pattern isn’t about goals — it’s about clubs whose entire system now runs through one specific player.

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The valuation fallers of summer 2026 tell two different stories

Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé lost 11-14% each, but for opposite reasons to Pio Esposito’s 45% drop or Emmanuel Agbadou’s 76% collapse. Not every faller is a player in decline.

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Casemiro’s free transfer to Inter Miami is a market signal, not a farewell tour

A 34-year-old World Cup winner leaving Manchester United on a free for MLS looks like a retirement move. The valuation trend behind it says the transfer happened a year later than the numbers suggested it should.

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How Mercato XI valuations differ from Transfermarkt

Transfermarkt’s figures are crowd-sourced estimates updated a few times a season. Mercato XI recomputes every player monthly from match-level statistics — which means the two sites will structurally disagree on recently-in-form or recently-injured players, and that’s by design.

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Why we cap monthly valuation swings — and what that trade-off costs us

A single monthly valuation can move at most 30% in either direction, whatever the underlying model computes. That cap just caught — and partly hid — a real bug in Harry Kane's number. Here's the honest version of why the rule exists anyway.

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